The Middle of a Wish describes trends preceding the global transformation that the novel is about.  From page 138:

“… he knew other rich tech entrepreneurs who had planned for just such a moment.  They had Pinkerton guards, helicopters and private jets, large plots of land and homes in the highlands of New Zealand. Some had built “safe houses” in silos in the Heartland. And that is where they had lived during the war. And the war segued into The Fail. Business, financial markets, the global economy were only somewhat affected by the US-based war between the Guardians and the Reforms and similar, smaller scale conflicts in the UK, Australia and parts of Europe. Asia initially was able to carry the economy and was instrumental in causing the Saudi-Iran war and Mideast conflagrations to be contained…But ultimately the interruption of oil production and the destablizing of society caused by the wars led to the collapse of the global economy.  If it hadn’t been for the wars, the ongoing shift away from fossil fuels and toward renewable energy might have kept things propped up and the world economy might have stumbled along, despite the great losses caused by sea level rise.  At that time, the Thwaites ice cliff had not collapsed. The flooding seemed dire but manageable.

  Then it all seemed to happen at once…”

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